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話題：

Writing: imagine a scenario or express your opinion
Likelihood
Likelihood means the chance or probability of something happening. What event is the likelihood referring to? Is there a high chance or low chance of the event taking place?
This week's topic: They assessed the likelihood... (90-110 words)

Suggestions:
1) getting the royal flush in a poker hand
2) the weather being good on the weekend
3) getting a hefty year-end bonus
4) getting infected after exposure to the virus
5) Instead of writing a scenario, feel free to comment on the story below.

范例1：

As for the encounter with his invited guests, Al did not go into too much detail, since really, not too much happened, as least with regards to it being case-related. Al contemplated for a moment before mentioning that it was very likely that it was his invited guest who bought the reporter, and in all likelihood, the two knew each other. “You mean they are friends?” Al's partner asked. “Yeah, probably something like that,” Al answered with an expressionless face. The partner looked at him, “I see,” while nodding knowingly.

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