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一篇關(guān)于標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化教育測試及心理測試的辯論文章

6s處有冒號




All informed predictions of future performance are based upon some knowledge of relevant past performance: school grades, research productivity, sales records, or whatever is appropriate. How well the predictions will be validated by later performance depends upon the amount, reliability, and appropriateness of the information used and on the skill and wisdom with which it is interpreted. Anyone who keeps careful score knows that the information available is always incomplete and that the predictions are always subject to error.
所有已知的對將來行為的預(yù)測都是基于對過去某些相關(guān)經(jīng)驗的了解的基礎(chǔ)之上的：學(xué)校成績、科研生產(chǎn)力、銷售業(yè)績，或諸如此類。這些預(yù)測在多大程度上被后來的表現(xiàn)證實，這取決于被采用信息的數(shù)量、可靠性和適宜性以及解釋這些信息的技能和才智。任何仔細(xì)記分的人都知道可用的信息總是不完整的，預(yù)測總是容易出現(xiàn)錯誤。